Interactive · Exploratory analysis

Governance & Development Outcomes

An exploratory tool for examining how governance indicators relate to human development outcomes — health, education, poverty, service access — across countries and over time. Click any country to see its trajectories side by side.

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What this tool is — and what it is not

This is an exploratory tool, not a causal analysis. Correlations shown here describe statistical associations between variables — they do not establish that governance improvements cause development gains, or vice versa.

Reverse causality is endemic. Wealthier countries tend to have both better governance scores and better development outcomes. Much of the correlation you see may reflect income level driving both variables simultaneously, not a direct governance–outcome relationship.

Use the “Control for income group” option to visualise correlations within income groups — a rough check on whether patterns hold beyond the development-level effect.

Some pairs have measurement overlap. World Bank Governance Indicators partly draw on service delivery data, so correlating WGI with health or education outcomes may be partially circular. Treat such pairs with extra caution.

Lags are uncertain. Governance changes take years or decades to affect outcomes. The “Show 5-year lag” option uses governance data from five years prior — a rough but instructive test of whether earlier governance predicts later outcomes better than contemporaneous data.

Use this to form hypotheses, not draw conclusions. Patterns worth investigating further should be tested with proper causal methods.

Correlation explorer
2022 data
Governance indicator (X axis)
Development outcome (Y axis)
Year
On business environment and happiness: The WGI Regulatory Quality index is currently the most comprehensive cross-country measure of business environment quality available for all 138 countries in the dataset. The World Bank’s original Doing Business index was discontinued in 2021 following a data manipulation scandal. Its replacement, B-READY (Business Ready), launched in October 2024 but currently covers only 101 countries; full coverage is expected in 2026. This explorer will integrate B-READY data when the full dataset becomes available. The WGI Regulatory Quality sub-indicator — which measures the ability of governments to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private sector development — serves as the current proxy.
Governance trajectory
Outcome trajectory
Country rankings
Sorted by selected outcome · click any row to view detail
Top 15 countries
Bottom 15 countries
Data notes
Governance data: Same indices as the Governance Compass — CPI, WGI, Freedom House, RSF Press Freedom, WJP Rule of Law, Chandler, BTI, Mo Ibrahim (Africa only) — normalised to 0–100 scale. Composite is an equal-weighted average of available indices (minimum 4 required).
Development outcome data: World Bank World Development Indicators (WDI) and UNDP Human Development Reports. Years available vary by series; gaps are shown as “No data.” All outcome series are presented in their natural direction (higher = better) for ease of comparison.
Income groups: World Bank 2024 classification: High income (H), Upper-middle (UM), Lower-middle (LM), Low income (L). Used for colouring and for the “Control for income group” option.
Pearson r and partial r: Raw correlation between the two selected variables. Partial r (shown when “Control for income group” is checked) computes correlation within income groups and averages, providing a rough control for development level. Neither is a causal estimate.
Open Budget Index (OBI): Published by the International Budget Partnership, the OBI measures whether governments publish budget documents online, in a timely manner, and with sufficient detail for public scrutiny — covering 125 countries. It is the primary global measure of fiscal transparency, distinct from political accountability: states can score well on OBI while suppressing press freedom (Russia: OBI 66, Freedom House 19). Available for 2015, 2019, 2021, 2023.
Outcome sources: UNDP HDR · World Bank WDI · WHO UHC Index · World Bank Poverty · IBP Open Budget Survey   |   Governance sources: TI · World Bank WGI · Freedom House · RSF · WJP